HARGA OPSI CALL TIPE EROPA MENGGUNAKAN SIMULASI MONTE CARLO STANDAR DAN TEKNIK ANTITHETIC VARIATES

  • Anisah Mardiah Qur’ani Universitas Islam Negeri Alauddin Makassar
    (ID)
  • Irwan Kasse
  • Ilham Syata

Abstract

The European call option is a contract that gives the contract holder the right to buy a certain asset at a price and a certain period of time, which is the execution time at maturity. This study aims to determine the accuracy of the simulation results of stock prices to determine the price of European call options from simulation of standardMonte Carlo and the antithetic variates technique using R-Studio software. The results of the simulation of the two methods will approach the option price of the analytic solution. Analytical solutions in this study use the Black-Scholes model to obtain a standard price that serves to compare the two methods. The call option price of the European type uses the Black-Scholes model as a benchmark is $ 14.20281. In the 1.000.000th standard Monte Carlo simulation, the call option price converges to $14.69786 with a standard error of 0.019, while the 100.000thMonte Carlo-antithetic variates produces a call option price converges at $14.69801 with a standard error of 0.043. The results of this study indicate that Monte Carlo simulation with antithetic variates technique is more accurate because it produces an option value faster to converge with a relatively smaller standard error

Author Biography

Anisah Mardiah Qur’ani, Universitas Islam Negeri Alauddin Makassar
Jurusan Matematika UIN Alauddin Makassar

References

Azis, Dr. Musdalifah, S.E., dkk. 2015. Manajemen Investasi Fundamental, Teknikal, Perilaku Investor dan Return Saham. Yogyakarta : Deepublish.

Halim, Drs. Abdul, MM., Ak. 2005. Analisis Investasi. Malang : Salemba Empat.

Yanto, Ali Ikhwan Wahyu Dilli. 2015. Penentuan Harga Opsi Tipe Eropa dengan Menggunakan Model Black-Scholes.

Zulfa, Nur Atiqotul. 2015. Analisis Estimasi Volatilitas Indeks Harga Saham Menggunakan Harga Tertinggi, Terendah, Pembukaan, dan Penutupan.

Zulfa, Nur Atiqotul. 2015. Analisis Estimasi Volatilitas Indeks Harga Saham Menggunakan Harga Tertinggi, Terendah, Pembukaan, dan Penutupan.

Hull, John C. 2012. Options, Future, and Other Derivatives Eight Edition. Canada : Pearson Education International.

Yahoo finance, [online]. http://www.finance.yahoo.comdiakses tanggal 05 Oktober 2018.

Fxs street, [online]. http://www.fxstreet. web.id/economic-calender/interesest-rates-table/ diakses tanggal 05 Oktober 2018.

Paul Wilmot, dkk. 1994. Option Pricing: Mathematical Model and Computation. Oxford: Oxford Financial Press.

J.S. Dagpunar. 2007. Simulation and Monte Carlo With Applications in Finance and MCMC. University of Edinburgh, UK:John Wiley & Sons Ltd

Published
2020-12-23
How to Cite
[1]
A. M. Qur’ani, I. Kasse, and I. Syata, “HARGA OPSI CALL TIPE EROPA MENGGUNAKAN SIMULASI MONTE CARLO STANDAR DAN TEKNIK ANTITHETIC VARIATES”, MSA, vol. 8, no. 2, pp. 7 - 14, Dec. 2020.
Abstract viewed = 742 times